Monthly Archives: April 2015

Record Arctic Warmth – in 1937

In this post I take a look at the GHCN V2 records for 32 stations in the Arctic and sub-Arctic areas of Norway, Sweden, Finland and the adjacent part of Russia (Figure 3). The data throw up some surprising results. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change | Tagged , , , , , | 42 Comments

Untangling UK Wind power production

This is cross posted from Clive Best. Clive is a physicist of some distinction and a climate and energy blogger with coding skills that go beyond the norm. Clive in my opinion, understands what is important and what is not. In this post he explains the portion of UK wind power generation that is metered by BM reports and that portion that is not. This is vital to the understanding of load factors and the efficiency of UK wind power. Continue reading

Posted in Energy | Tagged , , , , | 17 Comments

GWPF Launches Enquiry into Integrity of Temperature Data

The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF), Lord Lawson’s London based climate change think tank, has launched an enquiry into the integrity of data used to reconstruct global time-temperature series. These time-temperature reconstructions provide the core evidence that Earth’s lower troposphere is warming in response to rising CO2 levels. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Political commentary | Tagged , | 59 Comments

Blowout week 69

The oil just keeps on coming: More on the oil glut below the fold, plus fracking and earthquakes in the US, grass-to-gas conversion in UK, Drax pellet demand, nuclear in Japan and China, coal miners march in protest in Germany, Pakistan bans wind and solar, the Yellowstone “supervolcano”, the zero-carbon airliner of the future (complete with CO2 scrubber), the GWPF launches an enquiry into adjustments to temperature records (h/t A.C. Osborn) and how the tragic deaths in the Mediterranean are precisely in line with the predictions of climate security analysts.
Continue reading

Posted in Blowout | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments

Averaging Temperature Averages

I sent a link to my recent post The Hunt For Global Warming: Southern Hemisphere Summary to Professor Richard Muller at Berkeley drawing attention to the gulf between Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) for southern hemisphere land and the compilations produced by Roger Andrews and I (Figure 1) in the hope that he or his group may help us to understand where the discrepancies may lie. He passed this on to Steven Mosher to respond and we exchanged several emails. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change | Tagged , , , , , , , | 46 Comments

Blowout Week 68

This week we feature the forthcoming UK general election. How might the results impact future UK energy policy?

More below the fold, including the latest pronouncements of OPEC, oil prices and the US Fed, layoffs at Schlumberger, yet more problems for Hinkley Point, the California drought, the EU to sue Gazprom, US tree exports to Europe and how global warming will cause giant super-fast spiders.
Continue reading

Posted in Blowout | Tagged , , , , | 7 Comments

US Oil Production Forecast Scenario

Readers are keen to know when US oil production will begin to fall. This is not an easy question to answer but in the comments to last week’s rig count update some interesting links were posted. Among them I came across a link to an Energy Information Agency (EIA) report into US drilling efficiency that sought to link future production to drilling activity and this seemed an interesting avenue to explore. Continue reading

Posted in Energy | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

Forging Arctic Heat

Arctic warming is still very much in the news and there is on-going concern that this may cause accelerated melting of permafrost, release of even more CO2 and methane and a form of runaway warming. A little known “fact” is that many parts of the Arctic were just as warm around 1940 as they are today. This is a theme I will return to shortly with a few more comprehensive data sets. In this short post I simply want to take another look at the two records close to Yamal – Ostrov Dikson and Salehard – that I mentioned in my recent post on the Yamal “vent”. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change | Tagged , , , , , , , | 22 Comments

Rig Count Update March / April 2015

The global rig count statistics published by Baker Hughes provide a crucial industry activity indicator and some of the most up to date industry statistics available. This is a short report updating international statistics to March 2015 and US statistics to 10 April 2015. Continue reading

Posted in Energy | Tagged , , , , | 8 Comments

The Hunt For Global Warming: Southern Hemisphere Summary

In recent months I’ve had a series of posts looking at the temperature histories of a number of land areas in the Southern Hemisphere [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]. This was in response to a post by Roger Andrews where he presented an analysis of about 300 climate stations from the Southern Hemisphere that, when combined, showed substantially less warming than the reconstructions presented by various groups (BEST, GISS, HadCRUT) [6]. I found this to be both intriguing and important and wanted to see if I could replicate Roger’s result. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change | Tagged , , , , | 32 Comments

Blowout Week 67

This week marks the 200th anniversary of the eruption of Tambora in Indonesia, the largest volcanic eruption yet witnessed by humans (although not the loudest. The eruption of Krakatoa in 1883 was heard almost 3,000 miles away).

Below the fold we have another rig count decrease, more production from Saudi Arabia, more nukes from Rosatom, an oil discovery at Gatwick Airport, a blackout in Washington DC caused by a coal plant closure, Denmark and Germany squabbling over Danish wind imports, storing energy in hybrid flywheels, making hydrogen from corn husks, the Shell/BG acquisition, how CO2 emissions threaten another mass species extinction and “The Blob”.
Continue reading

Posted in Blowout | Tagged , , , , | 21 Comments

On the Origin of a Permafrost Vent on Yamal Peninsula, Russia

In my recent post on temperature history around Moscow, Alexander posted a link to a vent in Siberian permafrost that sparked some interesting discussion. Syndroma followed up with a link to a paper that described the feature. I have two motives for writing this post. The first is to describe some aspects of the geology of this area and the vent which I find to be quite extraordinary. And the second is to highlight some commentaters’ obsession with seeking to explain all natural phenomena such as this one by anthropogenic global warming and to block out all other explanations no matter how plausible they may be. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Political commentary | Tagged , , , , , , | 21 Comments

A Tale of Two Weather Stations

The Orcadas record has another distinction: it’s one of the few records in the Southern Hemisphere where the homogeneity adjustments applied by GISS, NCDC and BEST generate a substantial cooling correction. Here we will look into whether this cooling correction is any more valid than the wholesale warming corrections, the adjustments applied elsewhere in the Hemisphere. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change | Tagged , , , , | 17 Comments

Blowout Week 66

The focus this week is on the recent nuclear agreement with Iran. What happens if sanctions on Iran are lifted?

More on Iran and the Middle East below the fold, plus leaks at nuclear plants, layoffs at Hinkley, smart grids, the coal glut, Europe falling behind in renewables, Republican senators going after the EPA, methane emissions from hydro plants and a temperature record that wasn’t.

Continue reading

Posted in Blowout | Tagged , , , , | 9 Comments

The Hunt for Global Warming: Moscow and Urban Heating

34 climate stations centred on Moscow are divided into three groups: 1) Large cities over 1 million 2) large towns and small cities 20,000 to 1 million and 3) Rural 20,000 and less.

The warming trend through the large cities is +2˚C since 1880. The warming trend through the rural records is +1.2˚C since 1880. The large towns and small cities lie close to but slightly warmer than the rural records. There is clear evidence for urban warming. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change | Tagged , , , , , , | 46 Comments

Tories Place Energy Policy at Heart of Manifesto

In a surprise move, The Conservatives have placed the reform of energy policy at the heart of their manifesto launched today pledging to repeal the loathed 2008 Climate Change Act in the first session of the new parliament should they be elected. Continue reading

Posted in Energy, Political commentary | Tagged , , , | 31 Comments

Climate Scientists Confirm No Global Increase in Extreme Weather Events

It’s now accepted in certain quarters that climate change AKA anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is causing more frequent extreme weather events, and about once a week along comes another extreme event that gets blamed on AGW, with the most recent being the Chilean floods. Before that we had the California drought, Cyclone Pam, the frigid US winter, the Boston blizzard and the Australian bushfires. We can in fact trace a chain of extreme events allegedly caused in whole or in part by AGW that goes all the way back to hurricane Katrina in 2005, the “superstorm” that got the ball rolling. Continue reading

Posted in Climate change | Tagged , , | 24 Comments