Tag Archives: DECC

UK Electricity 2050 Part 1: a demand model

Guest post by Energy Matters’ commentators Alex Terrel and Andy Dawson. Alex Terrell is a business consultant in the area of Vehicle Telematics. He has also consulted in Energy and Manufacturing, and has a degree in Engineering. Andy Dawson is an energy sector systems consultant and former nuclear engineer.

This lengthy post is in three parts and aims to provide greater sophistication to a UK 2050 electricity model than can be achieved using the DECC 2050 calculator. Part 1 (below) presents the demand model. Parts 2 and 3 (to follow) will look at how demand may be met by a high nuclear option and from a renewables option. Continue reading

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Blowout Week 133

This week’s Blowout features the demise of the DECC and its amalgamation into the Department of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. Does this signal a sea change in UK government energy policy, or is it business-as-usual under a new banner?

Following up are stories on the reactions of the greens to the disappearance of the DECC and on what Theresa May thinks about climate change. (It seems that she has never established a position; her few recorded utterances are heavy into energy security but say nothing about climate change per se.)
Continue reading

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The Energy Return of Solar PV – a response from Ferroni and Hopkirk

Last week’s post on The Energy return of Solar PV caused quite a stir. Yesterday I received a response to some of the comments from Ferroccio Ferroni and Robert Hopkirk answering some of the queries raised by readers. There response is given below the fold. But first I have a few comments to add.

Let’s kick off with the unshakeable enthusiasm for renewables of every flavour from the Scottish National Party. Member of the Scottish Parliament Callum McCaig:

I think Scotland is very much leading the way…. Continue reading

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Going green – the Ofgem vision

“…. when there isn’t enough supply to match demand, we generate more and build more cables to carry it. As we decarbonise, simply building more power stations and cables to meet demand when the wind isn’t blowing, or the sun isn’t shining, is neither sustainable nor efficient.” Continue reading

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The Gatwick Gusher

Rumours are circulating that a hundred billion barrels of oil has just been discovered at Gatwick airport. To place this in context, the UK North Sea has produced around 28 billion barrels of oil since production began in 1975. How could we Brits be so dumb as to miss 100 billion barrels just waiting to be pumped from under the home counties? Continue reading

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Blowout week 93

The spotlight in this week’s Bumper Blowout falls on coal. Vattenfall wants to sell its German lignite plants and lignite mines and Greenpeace wants to buy them – no prizes for guessing why. Continue reading

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A Note on UK Renewable Load Factors

This note compares Solar PV and wind load factors for the UK reported by DECC with those calculated from the Renewable Energy Foundation data base. In summary:
Solar PV UK (REF): 11.8%; Solar PV UK (DECC): 10.8%; Solar VP Scotland (REF): 9.0%; Solar PV England (REF): 11.9%
Onshore wind (REF): 26.3%; Onshore wind (DECC): 27.3%; Offshore wind (REF): 30.5%; Offshore wind (DECC): 37.3% Continue reading

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UK Electricity Supply, September 2015

According to DECC, the UK had 10.9 GW of installed wind at end May 2015. At 08:35 on 26th September this massive wind park managed to produce 0.134 GW. That works out at 1.2% load. The maximum for the month was 5.3 GW, 48.6% load, at 06:05 on 12th September. The average wind load for the month was 16%. Continue reading

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The DECC Pathways Calculator – A False Prophet

In a comment on the recent power-to-methane post I made the following observation:

“It would be an interesting exercise to take a high-renewables-penetration DECC scenario that meets UK emissions targets, convert it to hourly generation by factoring actual Gridwatch generation and compare it to demand for, say, 2013 or 2014. I’d be willing to bet the UK would be freezing in the dark for much of the time during the winter.”

Well, the interesting exercise is now complete and this post documents the results. Continue reading

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Blowout Week 71

This week we give OPEC a rest and focus – inevitably – on the UK election and its potential impacts on UK energy policy:

More post-election predictions and perspectives below the fold, plus German coal causing air pollution in France, US coal is either dead or it isn’t, rationing UK internet use to keep the lights on, Scotland’s green energy vision, a record trade deficit in Canada, Australia squabbles over renewables targets, Iran determined to sell more oil, jet fuel from fungus, CO2 exceeds 400ppm, how Americans can fight global warming by eating insects and the US Army promises not to invade Texas.
Continue reading

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Blowout Week 70

This week we feature Tesla and its new energy storage battery. Is it a game changer, or just another battery?

More below the fold, including a predicted oil price rebound, OPEC’s civil war in Yemen, Luxembourg and Austria to file suit against Hinkley, the EOn/Uniper spinoff, German miners march, the Church of England puts coal in the sin bin, a solar powered aircraft that flies when the wind isn’t blowing, Richard Muller on the need for temperature adjustments and how climate change triggered the Nepal earthquake. Continue reading

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Blowout week 40

I lead off this week with the exciting story of the world’s first large scale commercial CCS project in Canada. Published in on a Norwegian website the author observes that the project went from conception to completion in only 5 years and that there are lessons to be learned. It’s not that hard to work out. The boundary Dam project is linked to CO2 enhanced oil recovery which will make the owners money. Continue reading

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North Sea Oil and Scottish Independence: where does the truth lie?

How wealthy will oil make Scotland? In 2013, the direct tax take from oil and gas production for the whole of the UK was £4.67 billion and falling. This compares with annual spending of the Scottish government (plus UK spending on Scotland) running at £65.2 billion. Hence, direct taxation of oil and gas production may account for less than 7% of the Scottish budget. What we should be asking is where the other 93% is going to come from? Continue reading

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Three Nails in the Coffin of Peak Oil

Drill baby drill. This final slide depicts the very different attitudes to energy policy on either side of the Atlantic pond. The USA, still dominated by free market policies, private ownership of mineral rights and the fossil fuel industries, has pursued a very different course to Europe that is pre-occupied with unilateral emissions reduction policies. So far, this unilateral EU action has achieved essentially zero on the emissions front, any savings made in Europe being wiped out by increased emissions else where. Continue reading

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Blowout week 31

By Roger Andrews: A non-bumper Blowout Week during Euan’s absence. Twenty or so more stories below the fold: Energy Live News:  Ferrybridge fire cuts UK backup capacity In a sign of how serious the damage may be, the energy company … Continue reading

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Blowout week 27

UK energy news this week was dominated by the publication by DECC of the last strand of their energy policy. The document and its attachments struck me as preposterous (see first link below). Does anyone believe that £2 per household will buy 53 GW of back up generating capacity? Does anyone believe that the UK has superior energy security to Canada? Continue reading

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Does the UK Economy Run on Energy or Hot Air?

Much of the growth in the UK economy since 1980 is indeed hot air while energy consumption still underpins the real economy providing heat, light, food, shelter, security, mobility and enormous leverage in manufacturing. Continue reading

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UK oil and gas production update to October 2013

The annualised declines (12 month mean) for oil and gas both stand at around 10% per annum, improved from the high teen values seen in recent years, but production is still falling at 10% per annum despite record investment. Continue reading

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Energy Matters’ 2050 pathway for the UK

The DECC 2050 calculator is simultaneously brilliant and frustrating. It forces the user into Green thinking and in some cases surreal choices. For these reasons I have avoided using the calculator for years – a form of protest. But following a friendly email exchange with David MacKay a few weeks ago where he explained how to get around some of the Green options, I decided to give it a go. Continue reading

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Maximising Economic Recovery: the Wood Review

The UK is now a net importer of oil and gas and coal with a net cost to UK balance of trade near £22 billion in 2012 (Figure 2). It was against this backdrop that Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, Ed Davey, invited Sir Ian Wood to conduct a review of the North Sea oil industry Continue reading

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