Here at latitude 20˚S in Mexico we get hurricanes. Normally they head off west into the Pacific without doing any damage, but late in the year they sometimes turn right and head inland. Hurricane Patricia is doing that right now. And Patricia isn’t just any old hurricane. According to weather.com it’s “the most powerful tropical cyclone ever measured in the Western Hemisphere”.
And where do I sit in relation to it?
And Patricia is coming this way.
Will we survive? Probably. When the eye of the storm passes west of here in the early hours of tomorrow it will no longer be packing sustained winds of 200mph and we will be outside the zone of strongest winds anyway. But Guadalajara (we live about 20 miles south) still has a 91% probability of sustained winds greater than 39mph and a 5% probability of sustained winds greater than 74mph, which works out roughly to a 51% probability of sustained winds greater than 50mph – enough to bring power lines down and tear branches off trees. On top of that we’re also scheduled to receive 3-5 inches of rain (we’ve had over an inch already).
So if you don’t hear from me for a while after tomorrow it’s not because I’m ignoring you.
Conditions at present? Low cloud, light rain and wind picking up from the east. Just like Scotland. Off to check the roof drains and move patio furniture indoors.
Update by Euan, Sat 24th @ 10:00 am BST
The Financial Times carries this headline:
Worst hurricane ever’ hits Mexico
And the BBC:
Hurricane Patricia: Risk of floods and landslides
and goes on to say:
President Enrique Pena Nieto said Patricia – the strongest storm recorded in the Americas – had so far caused less damage than feared.
The US National Hurricane Centre said the hurricane hit as a Category Five storm – the highest classification.
It has since been downgraded to a Category Two tropical storm.
I think there may be a lot of rain.